Niveshak November 2011 Issue
Sunday, November 27, 2011 , Posted by Team Niveshak at Sunday, November 27, 2011
The past month like the previous ones since a long time witnessed growing uncertainty in the Euro zone on the possible measures to prevent an economic meltdown. New ECB president Mario Draghi, in his very first public appearance at the European Banking Congress in Frankfurt, displayed stridency of views and called for immediate action from European politicians to implement the decisions taken in earlier summits. The troubled nations of Greece and Italy now have new Prime Ministers, Lucas Papademos and Mario Monti respectively, in the hope of enforcing better reforms to tide over the crisis. A sense of dismay prevailed in the EU when Mr. Papademos refused to give a written pledge to implement austerity measures prior to release of next instalment package from the EU, saying his words were enough. In neighbouring Italy, the political uncertainty raised their 10-year bond yield to as high as 7.48 %. However, Mr. Monti’s slew of policy priorities on labour and pension reforms helped in raising the confidence of investors and lowering the bond yields to manageable levels. Meanwhile in US, the super committee’s progress on measures to reduce the US deficit by at least $1.2 trillion over the next 10 years would be reviewed on 23rd November. It is widely believed that in case the committee falls short of expectations, the financial markets could be headed for another nosedive. These conditions do not augur well for US, which is still trying to emerge from the after effects of the 2008 recession.
There was no respite for the Indian sub-continent as well. High interest rate and unbridled inflation have led to yet another disappointing IIP number for the month of September, which has slumped to a two year low of 1.9 % against 6.1 % in the corresponding month a year ago. The weak number is mainly due to slow-down in capital intensive manufacturing and mining sectors indicating that though the series of rate hikes have not been able to rein in inflation, it has an adverse effect on growth. Global research firm, Macqquarie, has gone to the extent of lowering the next fiscal year (FY2012-13) GDP projection for India to 6.9% citing lack of political reforms by the government as the major reason while maintaining this year growth marginally higher at 7.4 %. The series of rate hikes by the RBI to control the rampant rise in inflation is expected to show some effect from December onwards. In case that happens, RBI governor has indicated that further tightening in terms of interest rate hikes might not be needed.
This issue brings to you some more interesting and insightful reads. The cover story this month focuses on Green Finance especially carbon credits and its relevance in the current scenario. The issue also features an article on the Housing Finance Market in India and the road ahead for it. Another article in this issue focusses on High Frequency Trading used by large banks for proprietary trading. The Classroom this month explains the process of Factoring.
We, the Editorial Team of Niveshak, are pleased to introduce to you our new team, which has been selected to carry on the legacy of Niveshak. They are: Akanksha, Akhil, Anuroop, Chandan, Harshali, Kailash, Nilkesh, Rakesh and Venkata. Please join us in welcoming them to Team Niveshak. We are confident that the new team will not only meet but will surpass your expectations in this and the coming editions. Keep supporting them the way you have been supporting us.
Stay invested.
Rajat Sethia